Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.379140 0.449580 0.528238 0.622403 0.731884 0.854971 1.003648
2025-01-05 0.278114 0.369975 0.483583 0.633650 0.825814 1.062695 1.375782
2025-01-12 0.216435 0.313674 0.443355 0.627385 0.879970 1.212335 1.680225
2025-01-19 0.176388 0.274710 0.414350 0.624600 0.930000 1.353643 1.980965
2025-01-26 0.154477 0.256009 0.408207 0.649206 1.016406 1.548767 2.370870
2025-02-02 0.147699 0.258187 0.431625 0.718237 1.172855 1.856709 2.950223
2025-02-09 0.133042 0.244906 0.428488 0.744535 1.265398 2.076711 3.417293
2025-02-16 0.114596 0.221979 0.406064 0.735866 1.299919 2.208499 3.757710
2025-02-23 0.096724 0.196974 0.376312 0.710301 1.302308 2.287138 4.017499
2025-03-02 0.080927 0.173102 0.345007 0.677420 1.287330 2.333803 4.225937
2025-03-09 0.074775 0.166845 0.344784 0.700059 1.371247 2.553254 4.742463
2025-03-16 0.064101 0.149676 0.321497 0.676460 1.368150 2.620195 4.998456
2025-03-23 0.058544 0.142751 0.318063 0.692092 1.442446 2.836020 5.546144
2025-03-30 0.053199 0.135463 0.313022 0.704128 1.511571 3.049464 6.109873
2025-04-06 0.046945 0.124967 0.299687 0.697211 1.542026 3.192422 6.553325
2025-04-13 0.041833 0.116248 0.288908 0.694139 1.579461 3.351144 7.038633
2025-04-20 0.039425 0.113803 0.291852 0.721264 1.682312 3.646218 7.811811
2025-04-27 0.040288 0.119924 0.315419 0.797322 1.896847 4.181530 9.100891
2025-05-04 0.038104 0.117566 0.318434 0.826283 2.011097 4.520739 10.018540
2025-05-11 0.034030 0.109282 0.305794 0.816737 2.038360 4.681069 10.580712
2025-05-18 0.029542 0.098952 0.286495 0.788581 2.020004 4.742660 10.940378
2025-05-25 0.025281 0.088427 0.265096 0.752357 1.978681 4.750433 11.184866
2025-06-01 0.024014 0.086865 0.267516 0.777299 2.085960 5.094001 12.182092